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post #12 of (permalink) Old 01-14-2010, 01:30 AM
Xerxes's Avatar
Join Date: Aug 2008
Posts: 5,224
Originally Posted by SigFig View Post
Or look for trends, and incorporate them into your strategy.

For example, if there are two fighters fighting and the favorite is an established fighter who doesn't "finish" fights, and neither does his opponent, you may want to side with the favorite... if that makes sense.

I'm gonna have to sort through some old results and see if I can pick up on anything now...
What he said.

You need to incorporate this factor into your strategy.

If a fight has '3 round decision' written all over it a la Randy vs Coleman or Sherk vs Guida, think twice before betting against the odds-favorite/champion/fan-favorite/big name fighter etc..

Another factor of bias we forgot to point out is when the home town boy is fighting and it goes the distance (and the fight is very close obvi): Bisping vs Hamill, Sam Stout vs Wiman ...
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