The 6 fight losing streak isn't exactly fair. His fight with Foupa Pokem should have been ruled a no contest due to Professor X poking Reid in both eyes, and then the Ninja fight ended after nasty cut to his chin thanks to Ninja checking a leg-kick very early on. Then the Jason Tan fight I easily gave to Alex. Tan took Alex down a couple of times, but once on the ground it was all Alex. He was throwing up triangles, armbars, up-kicks (all forms of up-kick were legal) and punches from the bottom, and then managed top position for a decent period of time, and did some actual damage. On the feet Alex was getting the better of exchanges. Tan landed a couple of shots, but Alex took them easily, landed a few of his own and I'd say definitely out-pointed him on the feet. Both rounds went to Alex for me, so I'd say his record is more accurately 9-6-1 with 2 no contests, still not great, but better than his actual record suggests. He's also won a series of Kickboxing fights since his last MMA fight too, one of them a very impressive KO via Knee from the clinch against Jake Bostwick.
I don't see this being an easy fight for Watson. He's not going to be 100%, and Alex is a heck of a lot better than he was in the TUF elimination fight, his stand-up is massively improved. I definitely see Tom taking it, but Alex shouldn't be completely written off, I think he's got a chance, and I'd actually like to see him take the win.
Georges St. Pierre