GSP will score early, easily, and often. But Jake will eventually get GSP down by late round 2 or early round 3 and keep dominant positioning on him for significant portions of two or three rounds. It will be very competitive, with only one round having a clear winner - rd 1 to Georges.
Very close decision, perhaps split. Many will be unhappy with the decision either way. I'll go with Mr. Shields.
If it goes to a SD, I'd bet my life savings and house that it will go to GSP.