Bad pick imo. I imagine 2012 will be a slow year for Jones he is taking a break and not to mention after Rashad Evans there wont be any contenders. It seems like a good pick for the fact that he probably wont lose but iv learned if they dont fight often then that doesnt mean much.
Would've been my first pick too, he'll have at least 3 fight this year, last year he had 4 and 2 of them while he was the champion.
Besides Rashad there's Hendo, and lightheavyweight is quite packed weight class, there will be definitely more up and coming