Since I'm rooting for Rashad I'm a bit worried that his chances of winning are based on him doing the impossible.
Rashad might be able to get in and out a few times but he won't have much success staying in there. Never mind pulling off a Tyson- like onslaught. Jones will keep him at bay at all cost even if it means circling the octagon for 5 mins with his hands in Rashads face throwing an occasional kick to the knee.
In the event Rashad does get close Jones will tie him up and go for take downs all day.(could be a good thing for Rashad if he can reverse)
But for Rashad to win in my opinion he must go for takedowns NON STOP. He must force Jones to win the fight off his back as in Sonnen/Silva. Any other scenario Jones will win.
While I like Rashad I'm realistic