Vera is a front runner. Breaks down mentally and under utilizes his skill sets; BJJ and even Muay Thai. The world of sports are filled with talent, only a select few reach their full potential. Vera's time has passed, even if he wins against Shogun. The likes of Phil Davis, Bader or even Brilz can easily nullify him. Heck Tito can take em easily.
Shogun's gonna stand if they don't knock each other out he's gonna eventually go for his gable grip, leg trip takedown, landing into side mount and basically rain down hammer firsts eventually going for full mount or taking the back and getting a TKO or RNC victory.
Also worth mentioning. Vera is going up against one of the most mentally tough fighters in MMA especially when he's in shape. Shogun with solid conditioning puts on Gladiator type fights as demonstrated recently. Seriously I can't remember too many fighters taking on full on H-bomb shots other than Rampage.
This fight isn't going to be pretty.
Marcus Aurelius: Tell me again, Maximus, why are we here?
Maximus: For the glory of the Empire, sire.
Baked, not fried... the healthy choice.