Most ppl seem to forget the first 3 rounds were very high paced. Hendo went all in and it's actually surprising that Rua survived.
I'd be happier with Hendo. Jones doesn't have that 1 punch KO power and he likes to pick his opponents apart through time. Sth that would favor Hendo. He'd be a serious threat to Jones in the first 2-3 rounds, after that Jones would demolish him.
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I think it'll only take Bones getting Hendo down once. By the time he gets back up he'll be totally knackered. Even if its round 1.