I didn't think so. No one in the US is saying "Mitt will probably win". Just about everyone believes the opposite. Mitt has closed the gap but it's still widely considered all over the US that Obama will probably win.
Polling doesn't support your statements.
It's extremely close; and ironically, it's Obama who has had to play catch-up to make it so, not Romney.
Factoid: no cadidate at over 50% in the Gallup Poll a week out of the election has EVER lost.
A week ago, Romney was over 50%...