Just do a simple search. The results are overwhelmingly in Obama's favor. You can find 10 sites to every 1 that favors Obama over Mitt. I had no idea any site was favoring Mitt and I'm confused to why you non-Americans would think he is going to win? If you do a search you will see what I'm saying, 90% of the information out there points to Obama being the favorite.
I know you can't speak for your fellow countrymen, but would you be shocked if Romney won?