I don't know how people think it will even be close. Shogun had problems standing with Vera and got hurt and ended up trying to take him down for most of the fight until Vera collapsed mentally and tried to fix his mouth piece right in front of shogun. I expect Gus to finish him late second third after shogun gasses. All though it has always been the third fight back that shogun started to look good again so who knows.
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I don't think Gus will finish Shogun. Shogun took some solid shots from Hendo and didn't go out and Gus didn't look like a world beater vs Thiago. He actually seemed to gas himself in that fight. I think Shogun has the chin to survive, I still think Gus wins but I don't see him getting a finish.