It's not that I particularly think Werdum would win. Its just Overeem... I just dont see it being anything other Overeem losing heart in the first 2 minutes.
Plus, there's the romance of it. Fedor had excellent discipline and top control as well, and he got caught in Werdums guard. Overeem stayed well away. I dunno. I just want to see Cain in the guard of a proper BBJ dude... not fecking big foot and his clumsy shit.