Yeah to me, Chael is a guy you can never take lightly because he's a master at implimenting his game plan. Jones will have to be fully aware and make sure he's just as good at using his and he should be fine. Jones has a lot more naturally going for him so if he can match Chael is trying to get the fight working to his strategy, he should be able to walk away with it.
Jones can make mistakes though. He kept going to the ground with Vitor after Vitor pulled guard, and was just asking to get submitted. He was smashing him on the feet and not even close to taking one back so there was really no need for him to go down. If Jones was fighting someone like Werdum instead, he'd have lost quite easily imo.
I'm probably the best at keeping threads on topic of all time.