Guida/Hioki was a competitive fight, I think it's clear that Hioki was the more skilled fighter but Guida was stronger. I gave the first to Hioki, third to Guida and you can make a case for either guy to win the 2nd. It really came down to what you valued more the slam or the headkick.
Personally I feel like fighters need to stop counter-striking Guida. If Hioki went on the offense just a little bit, he moved forward for 20 or 30 more seconds in either round 2 or 3 I think he could have stolen the rounds and beaten him 30-27.
I'd set him up to face Mendes next and then if he beats Mendes I would give him either Siver, Jung or the loser of Aldo/Edgar. Basically he needs three big wins after that performance.