LOL well most of those qualify as "semi-reasonable". Who is your favorite BW and LW that could have a crack at the title this year? Nate lost handily so that is stretching a bit too far IMO. Stretching it would be Alvarez or Maynard IMO but Nate is just going a bit too far IMO. But I would be very happy if Nate was Champion.
I'd root for Maynard against Bendo. I'm not too big on any BWs.