I think it is a good fight. I'd like to think Feijao wins more times than not.
I think Feijao has good enough TDD to stuff Bader's fairly disappointing takedowns. I figured he would be a much better wrestler when he won TUF. At the very least I think Feijao's BJJ and strength can get himself back up often. He has better hands with just as much power.
Who knows though, good fight.