I think Jake wins by KO. Nate has better striking but he almost has as bad fight IQ as Struve or Kampmann. Or maybe he's just mentally broken I don't know.
Nate can look extremely impressive at times & on paper he's a really good fighter but I don't think he will ever live up to that theoretical potential.
Should Ellen feel threatened on the feet he should be able to take Nate down without much problems and control him there.
I would really like to see a rematch between Kampmann & Marquardt, the two guys with so much skill that never seem to put it all to use.