Mousasis last fight winning over Mike Kyle. I watched it on youtube.
- Kyle was 4-6 in his last 10 fights PRIOR to losing to Mousasi
- The fight was pretty even on the feet before Mousasi got his takedown
If Mousasi got hit like that vs Kyle he will be hit by Gus harder and more often. Neither Shogun nor Silva was able to pin Gus down to the mat. I do not think Mousasi could do that either.
Gus is faster, strike harder, has reach and height advantage.
Gus stamina and ground game is at leist equal to Mousasi.
Gus probably has better takedown and takedown defence looking at how often Mousasi has been taken down historically.
I see very slim changes for Mousasi winnnig. An in shape Gus should win this one without problems.