I think he is being overrated based on what we've seen so far, but this doesn't mean he's not an elite middleweight.
On paper his wins over Maia and Munoz are impressive and he is definitely a top-5 Middleweight with those wins, but the fact he is being picked over Anderson Silva by so many is a really big surprise to me and he hasn't shown enough, for me, to warrant that kind of expectation.
Anderson Silva by TKO round 2.
UK+I MMA Watch (updated 09-Jul-14)
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Pick 'em Record: [1-0]