I got Sonnen winning this matchup. If all the world sporting champions went through the injuries Shogun had then they also would decline and be a shadow of themselves. Shogun has the abilty to finish Sonnen but after Sonnen puts him on his back, his cardio will suffer and he wont be doing his trademark sweeps after the first round.
Shogun has a small chance of submission or striking. He has an unorthodox striking base and needs to be very technical against Sonnen. He cannot throw his rigid hooks and let Sonnen set them to takedowns.
He should use his range and make full use of the JAB!! I really believe he needs to utilise his jab especially making Sonnen step into them adding a short hook. If Sonnen absorbs to many then Shogun could follow with a long range straight if Sonnen backs up. Shoguns striking coach Feitosa will know this fully, having his focus on boxing in his late K1 career.
Would like to add that Shogun should really utilize his Muay Thai clinch against the cage and inflict as much bodily damage as possible. Chael likes to grind, if Shogun can turn it around and trap him he has a big chance of finishing the fight in devastating fashion.
Rua also must cut off the ring and mix up the stand up so Chael cannot setup takendowns in the middle of the ring.
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