That still does'nt mean Weidman wouldn't have a real chance at beating Jones. I would pick Jones to win as well but let's not forget Belfort moved up to LHW and almost submitted Jones. Weidman just made quick work of Anderson Silva which is certainly nothing to scoff at. I'd most certainly say Weidman would have a real chance at beating Jones.
He'd have a real lousy chance of beating Jones.
All you really have to hang your hat on here is Jones getting caught in armbar by Vitor, who isn't known for his submissions (he's a black belt though, so he's at least competent.) But let's not forget how that fight ended, yes? It was Jones who submitted Belfort.