Originally Posted by attention

Im basing this off of Sherks performance against GSP and Franca.
I consider BJ a stronger striker than GSP and Sherk ate a fist full when he tried to trade with GSP...
Sherks patented looping left hook hit nothing but air that night and when he got put on his back, he couldnt do anything.

Do I think BJ could take Sherk down?... yes.
Do I think Sherk could take BJ down?... yes.
But I think BJ is more effective from his back than Sherk is... And I see BJ managing to get to his feet while defending the sub at the same time... I cant say the same for Sherk.

If BJ makes a mistake while on the ground, I dont think he will get it deep trouble... Sherk will not risk attempting a sub... he will try to play conservative 'control' strategy...like he admitted doing with Franca... and hope to grind out a win. With BJ the risk of a reversal is greater than with Franca... so yeah, I think its a safe bet Sherk will play it safe on the ground.

On the other hand if Sherk makes a mistake on the ground, its over... BJ wont hesitate to capitalize on it... even if it might put him at risk should it fail.

Im not simply 'wanting BJ to win'... Im basing it on Sherks last 3 fights and BJs fights...
considering that they both have fought GSP where GSP tooled Sherk and edged a (controversial) victory from BJ.

Im certainly not turning Sherk into Jorge Gurgel... Im using their past performances to rationalize a probable outcome.

Its all the Sherk nuthuggery that assert 'his stand up/striking is better' based on nothing.