Koscheck will repeatedly take Alves down and win a decision. Kos' top game is really good. Bad fight for Alves, as he's facing a much better wrestler, who isn't a complete dipshit standing. But, this isn't going to stay standing anyway.
Koscheck's top game may not be as good as we think. When he fought Diego he went for a takedown with like ten seconds left in the first just to get a takedown and win the round. Within the ten seconds or so he got swept and Diego took his back. Same thing in the Hazelett fight, he took him down and was almost instantly stuck in a triangle. I think what happened was he had great wrestling so all he worked on was his striking and he never really developed his bjj like he should. We will see, I am not sure if Thiago is the guy to sub him but hes not bad on the ground. Plus Thiago is so dangerous on his feet its ridiculous, he can end it at any time.