Location: See that guy over in the window, with the binoculars?
1 million on Werdum. Not convinced he takes the fight but Werdum is arguably the best grappler in the HW division and is every bit as good in his specialty as Overeem is at his (stand up). Werdum is a big strong guy and his striking is ever improving. If Werdum can pull Overeem down he can easily win this fight.
"If you get hit and it hurts hit him back you not knocked out yet."-Joe Doerksen
I think Werdum is gonna give Reem more nightmares than people think. His ground game is on another level, and we all know Reem doesn't avoid punches very well. I think Reem would get TKO'd by JDS just like werdum did, so I see them fairly evenly matched.
...This is a tough match to call. Werdum already has the mind edge over Alistair with an Armbar win but that was years ago in Pride. Overeem has become a monster with top notch K-1 striking skills. I doubt Werdum will get lucky again and bait Alistair into his guard like he did Fedor. I doubt Overeem would make that mistake considering he already had his arm snatched by Werdum once. If Fabricio doesn't get it to the ground quickly, chances are he will get caught with a big shot or 2 and it's game over. If Alistair throws something wild like a high knee or kick and gets taken down, it's all Werdum's fight if he can keep Overeem down. It will be a fascinating fight...