Tim without a doubt is the better fighter, but Tim has a suspect chin and Rogers for all his lacks has power and a decent chin. Tim also has trouble if he can't use his reach to his fullest advantage (Tim will only be 3 inches taller). I'm calling the upset by Rogers first round 2nd minute by KO.
"Let them see that their words can cut you, and you'll never be free of the mockery. If they want to give you a name, take it, make it your own. Then they can't hurt you with it anymore." - Tyrion Lannister