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Old 09-12-2009, 04:05 PM   #1 (permalink)
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TUF 10 Analysis and Picks

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Originally Posted by IronMan @ MMAOpinion

Joe Rogan approves of Rampage vs. Evans. Gonna make for some great talk.

Iíve been holding off on doing too much analysis of this season of TUF lately, because I did a good deal before the roster was officially announced and tried to give a little insight when the list was put out. That said, with the start of the season now well under a weak away, Iím happy to start writing about it. This season looks promising and, more importantly, it looks like it will help to jumpstart what has long been the UFCís weakest and least interesting division. While the new influx of talent will not quickly have any impact on the upper echelon of the division, and heavyweight champ Brock Lesnar (4-1 MMA, 3-1 UFC, #2 IWMMAR) doesnít have to worry about an immediate thread from any of the former NFL players that will be coming out of the show, it should still be interesting to see which of the guys have longevity in the UFC.

The first note worth making is that weíve seen a lot of larger heavyweights coming into the UFC lately, and that has a lot to do with the fact that there are simply a lot more athletes in MMA and, thus, a larger number of guys who are true heavyweights competing successfully in the sport. The handful of true heavyweights in UFC history will certainly be seen as more normal after this season as, from my analysis, half of the roster (8-of-16 competitors), will weigh in at 265 pounds. While a true heavyweight may not win the show (though Iíll get to predictions in a minute), many of them will end up with UFC contracts.

Now, itís worth noting, as well, that the UFC has made a push recently to expand the number of really solid, respectable heavyweights that their bringing in outside of this season of TUF as well. On the recent UFC 102 card, we saw four relatively new heavyweight names that are solid prospects: Todd Duffee (5-0 MMA, 1-0 UFC), Tim Hague (10-2 MMA, 1-1 UFC), Mike Russow (12-1-0-1 MMA, 1-0 UFC) and Chris Tuchscherer (17-2-0-1 MMA, 0-1 UFC). Obviously, these fighters are still young in terms of their UFC careers, so Iím not going to call them contenders or anything of the like, but itís clear that the UFC is putting some effort, both with the series and outside of it, to bring in legitimate and respectable talent.

And, without further shenanigans, my picks and analysis of the brackets of TUF 10.
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Old 09-15-2009, 03:53 PM   #2 (permalink)
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southernlynx has a little shameless behaviour in the past
I'm not sure I agree with Kimbo being written off because of the Seth Petruzelli knockout. Anyone can have a bad day, there are a thousand variables to each and every blow, Kimbo might have just caught a bad break on that one. Look, I'm not advocating Kimbo, or saying he'll be a dominant force in the season of TUF - I'm only noting that the Petruzelli knockout is thus far an isolated incident on Kimbo's record and has yet to be proven a consistantly fatal flaw. That said, the guy's got a lot of raw talent going for him. Watching his first street fights, any fighter worth his salt can see by the way he pivots, springs and throws punches that Kimbo has a ton of natural talent. Kinetics that are nearly impossible to learn in a gym, but come easy to the right body. All in all, I'm not counting him out for a single moment of weakness until that 'single moment' becomes a reoccuring theme.
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Old 09-15-2009, 05:04 PM   #3 (permalink)
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Originally Posted by southernlynx View Post
I'm not sure I agree with Kimbo being written off because of the Seth Petruzelli knockout. Anyone can have a bad day, there are a thousand variables to each and every blow, Kimbo might have just caught a bad break on that one.
You can have a bad day, or you can be a crappy fighter all along and get exposed. Kimbo was the latter.

Quote:
Look, I'm not advocating Kimbo, or saying he'll be a dominant force in the season of TUF - I'm only noting that the Petruzelli knockout is thus far an isolated incident on Kimbo's record and has yet to be proven a consistantly fatal flaw.
You should watch the video of his fight with Sean Gannon.

I did an old piece well before the Petruzelli knockout called "Ten Ways to Beat Kimbo Slice" that focused on the enormous number of flaws in his fights with Mercer and (particularly) Thompson.


Quote:
That said, the guy's got a lot of raw talent going for him. Watching his first street fights, any fighter worth his salt can see by the way he pivots, springs and throws punches that Kimbo has a ton of natural talent. Kinetics that are nearly impossible to learn in a gym, but come easy to the right body. All in all, I'm not counting him out for a single moment of weakness until that 'single moment' becomes a reoccuring theme.
Frankly, I've always thought Teddy Atlas' line "boxers are made, but punchers are born" was a pretty true statement.

Kimbo is a puncher. That's fine.

Be has no head movement. He has no understanding of how to effectively work the lower body in a way that allows him to throw kicks and knees. He has no understanding of how to work in the clinch (which is especially apparent in the Sean Gannon fight). He has no ground game to speak of (I mean, his technical skills rival those of James Thompson, which sort of speaks for itself). And now, we learned from the Petruzelli fight, that he can get knocked out by a lightheavyweight.
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