I'm not too knowledgeable either, I watch the odd race. My Mother's a F1 finatic though so if I'm over there during a racing weekend at any point I hear alot about it or have to watch it haha.
Vettel is racing phenomenally well, I really don't see him loosing short of a miracle for the two Mclaren guys, but hell, the odds for him are crappy and Hamilton or Button COULD pull out the win. Not confident enough to bet large on anyone though.
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”