Update: without fasting the day before, I cut from 213 down to 203 just by sweating. I also made sure to replenish myself like you're supposed to (pedialyte first... then started eating small meals every 30 min.). Today I feel fine. We'll test it tonight when I roll though.
NAGA is in 2 weeks and I'm sure I'll be able to make weight (plus the weigh-ins are from 5pm-8pm and if you don't make weight there's time to go cut whatever is left).
Good to see that your making some progress, both with the weight and with the skills, before NAGA. Hopefully you'll do well, since your training seems to be going well.
The one thing that I definitely suggest you work on in training, especially in sparring, is the guard break. The leglocks (mostly lower-leg locks) that you have seem to be pretty good, and if you can open guard you can help to set those up alot. I have used a similar game plan in some of my smoker matches, using a canopener to open guard or, in the event that they fall with the guard open and try to close it, to keep them from giving themselves that position.
I'm not sure what the NAGA rule is on using the can opener to keep them from getting the hips in to keep the guard open, I'd be sure to ask your individual referee if you choose to try that technique out (though there are others that work really well). Still, it's a good trick to have in the bag, it's done good things for me.
The other thing to just be aware of, and it's a thought I've had that I wanted to throw out because it's a mistake I've seen alot of the no-gi beginner guys make at NAGA, especially in the bigger weightclasses, is posture. Just because you don't have the belt to push up doesn't mean you should drop your head into his chest. While lower level opponents might not be able to attack it, all it requires is one skilled guy who knows how to slip his legs over or get his hips out, and you're caught in a sukata.
Put your hands under the rips and that will give you alot of control over your opponent.
Keep up the training, ruf.
I don't know about NAGA in general, but in this event the neck cranks are allowed. I'll be sure to practice that can opener pass more (it's been a while). Lately I've been working on some of Monson's variations on passing. For example, the simple "jailbreak pass" (one knee in the butt the other off to the side... and stiff-arming the knee down to pass) instead of posting both hands on the hips where the opponent can buck to create space for movement, putting them in the armpits like you would for a standing pass. It gives you more control over the opponent's upper body and limits his ability to mess with your hands.
My posture is generally good because of our MMA focus and we usually posture up in someone's guard to rain down strikes. I almost never put my head down when I'm in someone's guard, it just limits what I can do.
The two things I still want to get more comfortable with are takedowns from the "outside" and my sweeps. I know plenty of techniques for both, I just want to get more confident in them. The sweeps I prefer are the hip thrust reversal (or dropping into that kimura), the snowman roll (half butterfly sweep to backdoor under the posted leg), and what I think you might have meant by the "sukata" when you rotate your hips perpendicular to the opponent... put the bend of your knee in his armpit and the other leg takes out the base on the opposing side (Mark Bocek is doing it in the picture).
So yeah, I'm feeling better and better about the competition. Although, saying I wasn't nervous would be a blatant lie.