The odds are slightly surprising with Hendo's current streak, but they reflect my opinion of how the fight will most likely go. I almost did the double points that Lyoto will finish Dan, but elected just to pick Lyoto for the win. 100k.
Round 1 - Referee Herb Dean in the cage for tonight's co-main event. Crowd electric as they meet in the center. Henderson with an early low kick. Machida staying at distance early. Henderson kicks the leg again and reaches with a right that misses. Henderson holding the center. He again leads with a low kick into a right that misses. Machida pawing and looking for the rhythm. Henderson just measuring that right hand. Halfway mark, and the crowd wants both to pick up the pace. Henderson tries to rush in with the right, but Machida moves away. Henderson briefly moves into the clinch, but Machida pulls away. Henderson continues to reach for the right hand, but he can't score. Machida lands a right and avoids the counter. Henderson starting to reach a bit, but he does land. Machida kicks the leg. Henderson gets into a bodylock but lets it go. Clinch in the closing seconds. Machida with a trip and then several punches from the top at the bell. With really the only dominant moment of the round, Machida claims the round on the MMAjunkie.com card, 10-9.
Round 2 - Henderson kicks he leg. Machida kicks to the body, and Henderson staggers a bit as he moves forward. Machida with the front kick, and Henderson again misses as he tries to leap forward with right hands. Machida comfortable fighting at distance and keeping Henderson's power away. Machida's knee is reddened from the blows, but he's doing a good job of countering and keeping Henderson from scoring with a power shot. Knees inside. Henderson slips as he's looking to land that right. More leg kicks for Henderson, but he walks into a right. Machida lands a knee to the body, and he's scoring frequently with that. Henderson lands a left hand. Final minute. Henderson is moving forward and trying to score, but Machida staying clear of any real damage. Henderson moving forward, but MMAjunkie.com likes Machida's technical work at range, 10-9.
Round 3 - Henderson moves forward to start, but Machida still avoids damage and scores with the counter. Henderson moves in, and Machida slips as he counters. That allowed Henderson to settle into top position early in the round. Machida has a closed guard underneath. Machida breaks his grip and tries to turn, but Henderson sneaks in a few punches. That forces Machida to hold tight and hope for a stand-up. Dean does call for action, and so Henderson tries to get busy with short punches and elbows. Crossface for Henderson, who's trying to create some room. Machida looks to take the arm, and that allow him to create space and scramble up. Machida kicks low a few times as they reset before switching to orthodox. Boos coming in from the crowd as we get to the final minute. Close rounds up to this point may leave some questions. Machida in the center, and he lands several kicks form the outside. Henderson misses on a right hand. He wants the big punch, but it doesn't come. Bell sounds, and both fighters raise their hands. MMAjunkie.com gives the final round to Henderson in what again was a close round, but awards the fight to Machida, 29-28. Might be some weird scores here. Lyoto Machida def. Dan Henderson via split decision (28-29, 29-28, 29-28).