If it were a pick'em I'd take Machida to win 13/20...but that shows significant love for for Mousasi. I'm a very big Mousasi fan too. Hate this fight as one must lose. Machida based on who he's fought, but I expect this to be very competitive and Mousasi is the play at straight up money line odds the way they are at +200-230 ish. I expect a Machida Dec, but if Mousasi wins it'll be by a bizarre KO. You can bet both and not lose a penny. Although the Machida Dec bet is only +134 right now , so you'll pretty much break even if bet only 34% of Machida play on the Mousasi KO play.
Have fun people. Enough diarrhea of the mouth for me.
Round 1 – Mousasi with an early low kick. Machida circling to his left as they both feel out the distance. Machida kicks the leg. He continues to circle. Mousasi avoids another low kick. He’s very patient to open. Mousasi missesa a jab. Machida blasts him with a kick to the body. Mousasi still continually circling. Mousasi kicks the leg and then slips a few counterpunches. Machida just misses a big uppercut. Machida finally plants his legs, but Mousasi looking to counter rather than strike first. Crowd starts to chant Machida’s name. Mousasi kicks the body. He’s starting to chase just a little bit more. One minute left. Machida just misses a big left hand. Mousasi blocks a kick to the body. Round ends on the feet, and MMAjunkie gives it to Machida, 10-9.
Round 2 – Machida out quickly. This time, he doesn’t circle. Mousasi kicks the leg. Machida slips a right hand and then kicks the leg. Machida lands a left hand. Mousasi still yet to really unleash. Low kicks traded. Punches traded in a flurry. Machida goes high with a kick. Mousasi catches it but can’t counter with anything. Machida looks very comfortable. He kicks low and slips a right hand. He’s back to circling. Mousasi kicks to thee body. Machida rushes forward with punches, then lands a slick kick to the face. Mousasi gets inside and lands a few short punches. He’s starting to push forward a little more. Mousasi kicks the knee. Nice work from Mousasi to close, but MMAjunkie gives the second to Machida, 10-9.
Round 3 – Mousasi again forcing the issue a bit, looking to track down Machida. Mousasi looks for a takedown, but Machida pulls away. They work from the clinch, and knees are traded inside. Nice left hand for Machida. A right scores, as well. Spinning kick to the body for Machida. High kick to the arms for Machida. He looks very confident. Two punches into a leaping kick for Machida. Mousasi ooks dangerous, but he’s not staying busy. Mousasi’s nose bleeding, but he lands a pair of stiff left hands. Still, Machida right back with rushing punches that see him move quickly out of range. Machida thinks takedown, but Mousasi sniffs it out. Machida starting to drop his hands and wag his chin a bit. Round ends there, and MMAjunkie gives it to Machida, 10-9.
Round 4 – Once again, Machida circles as Mousasi takes the center. Mousasi drives in on a takedown but can’t establish the position, and Machida escapes to his feet. Machida shuffling his feet, looking extremely relaxed. Mousasi kicks the leg. Machida lands with a right and shoves Mousasi to the floor. He passes the legs and pushes to the floor, where he settles into his opponent’s guard. Mousasi battles into a smooth sweep to the top. Machida from guard, and he tries to attack the left arm and then looks for an oma plata. Mousasi postures to strike. He wants the back, but he’s too high, and he does over the top. Machida settles on top, but there’s an illegal upkick from Mousasi. Referee Mario Yamasaki calls for a break but lets them fight on with no penalty. Round ends, and MMAjunkie gives it to Mousasi, 10-9.
Round 5 – Mousasi again walks forward to start. He kicks the leg, but Machida counters over the top with rapid punches. Capoeira kick blocked, but it looks spetacular for Machida. Mousasi stalking, but Machida blasts him with a kick to the body. Mousasi presses, but Machida pushes him to the floor and now sets up in top position with time winding down. Mousasi turns, and Machida takes the back. Final minute. Machida controls the position until the very end. Final scramble, but Machida wins it. MMAjunkie gives the final round to Machida, 10-9, awarding him the fight 49-46.