2 mil on Nate. This is just a bad matchup for Manny. If he takes Nate down and doesn't finish Nate will sub him fairly easily because Manny's arms won't be able to reach Nate's head while he's in full or half guard so every time he punches it gives Nate an oppurtunity for an armbar or triangle.
If Manny keeps it standing Diaz will pick him apart with his weak annoying jabs the whole time and win a decision.
Manny's got some determination though so who knows I just don't see how he can possibly win other than maybe a kimura since that's basically his only finishing move and I doubt he will sink one in on Nate.
Manny is an awesome fighter, don't get me wrong. But Diaz has been way more impressive, finishing his opponents off in the first or second round via submissions. Manny will push the pace like he always does and Diaz is the perfect fighter that will catch you whenever you move too far too fast.
I dunno about this matchup. J-Lau was my pick to win, obviously. However, Manny just layed on him the whole time. Diaz hasn't impressed me with any of his matchs really. Maybe that's cause I hate Nick Diaz, and I'm biased. Lol. I dunno who to bet on. I need to think about this one.