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vBookie Event: UFC 104: Lyoto Machida vs. Mauricio Rua (UFC)

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vBookie Event
UFC 104: Lyoto Machida vs. Mauricio Rua (UFC)

This event is over.

Outcome Odds Total Bets Total Staked
Lyoto Machida 100/440 F (0.23) 91 18819237 WIN!
Mauricio Rua 325/100 (3.25) 71 1321700  
Draw 500/100 (5.00) 0 0  

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Old 10-21-2009, 11:08 AM   #31 (permalink)
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15K on The Dragon
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Old 10-21-2009, 08:02 PM   #32 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by A Random Person View Post
well face, looking at recent history and quality of opponents, it appears that Machida is the superior fighter.

Rua's 4 year record is 6-2 will losses becoming more frequent later in his career.
He lost in the first round by TKO to Mark Coleman.
His next three victories came against an unknown savate-kickboxing artists and two people who were on losing streaks, I believe we like to call them tamato cans (Randelman and Nakamura) and even Overseem was a Tamato Can at that point (Overseem had an impressive start to his career, but had seemed to have lost it). Then he lost to Tyson Griffin.

He did get his revenge against Coleman, than beat Liddell, who is a greybeard on a losing streak. I would say his only credible win in the last 4 years came against Coleman.

Machida, on the other hand, is undifeated in his career, and has a 7-0 record in the last 4 years, with victories over the likes of Tito Ortiz,Thiago Silva (who was undefeated coming into that fight) and Rashad Evans (who held the divisional championship and was also undefeated coming in). Three strong fighters compared to the one that Rua had.

So the way I view it, the relevant records are

Machida 3-0 against Rua 1-2.

You can expect Machida to dominate.
I do agree in general with the post, Machida has a more impressive recent history but you are really taking a lot of liberty in coming up with your facts...
You are saying a win vs Tito counts but a win vs Chuck doesn't
Also, a loss via freak arm break vs Coleman is a loss and a win vs Overeem doesn't count.

I put 5k down on Shogun because I like him a little more than Machida (as a fan) and he's the UD...if the odds were around 2-1 I'd stay away though because Machida is so dangerous but @ 3.whatever I can't resist no matter the logic
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Old 10-22-2009, 01:46 PM   #33 (permalink)
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Machida, once again, by decision.
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Old 10-23-2009, 03:26 PM   #34 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by A Random Person View Post
Here's how it works out on the computer ( Ultimate MMA Simulator 1.6.11)



I will do more research before makeing a decision.
That computer sucks...it is a five rounder.

5 mil on machida for the win
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Old 10-23-2009, 06:18 PM   #35 (permalink)
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All in on Machida.
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Old 10-24-2009, 02:49 AM   #36 (permalink)
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Betting all on Lyoto.
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Old 10-24-2009, 07:47 PM   #37 (permalink)
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Old 10-25-2009, 02:09 AM   #38 (permalink)
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Old 10-25-2009, 02:11 AM   #39 (permalink)
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Old 10-25-2009, 04:01 AM   #40 (permalink)
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I am a long time fan of Machida but i will have to say shogun definitely scared me a few times and really brought it out tonight
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