If Franklin can take him down like lutter did, and you give Franklin an opportunity to mount you..........he wont throw it away in some shitty half-ass arm-bar attempt. He is going to rearrange your teeth.
I cant see Rich ever having problems with the clinch like he did in that first match. I can see him getting caught with the knee, but only that "one" big knee not repetitive strikes like you saw.
Rich is very good at GnP. If your really good at that you know how to avoid the typical BBJ submissions.
I still say Rich will win, but I dont think it will be easy just because of the mental factor.