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UPCOMING FIGHTS that you would happily put $1000 on?

2K views 20 replies 14 participants last post by  khoveraki 
#1 · (Edited)
what in your opinion, are the most certain outcome fights, we are about to see?

i got ...

mendes v mckenzie (with a small sub cover)

jones v hendo

belfort v wandy.

struve v lavar, not to go the distance.

dont worry if you dont have a 1000. its just for fun.
 
#4 ·
pretty good as a cover. he is going to lose so itl be still quite good value and you can always mix with a few certs in the future if you feel the need.

seems like one of those props that will be boosted for idiots who think its going to happen. but considering its the only dark horse in that fight, outside of a striking distance game...its a decent cover.
 
#3 ·
JDS over Mir... Mir looked dreadful against Nogueira up untill it hit the mat. Mir doesn't have the takedowns to get it to the mad, he's gonna getdestroyed.

Hyun-Kim v Maia to go to a decision. Hyun-Kim has won his last 5 by decision, and Maia's last 7 fights have gone to the judges. Both guys are grapplers who seem to have found a new love in stand-up, and neither have the power to finish.

Jimmo to beat Perosh. Jimmo is a beast at LHW, even if he's not the most interesting fighter. Perosh is about 40, looked totally average in each of his last 3 wins, and now he's not fighting some regional LHW he'll get smashed.

Phil Davis to beat Chad Griggs. This is gonna go exactly how the Lashley-Griggs fight went except Davis won't get tired. Griggs is a gamer, but he's a very average fighter whereas Davis is a monster.
 
#20 ·
Yikes dude. Far from safe bets.
Mir - how many of his fights was he getting beaten in where he grabbed hold of something and subbed his opponent? Lesnar, Nog, Silvia, Sims to name a few. That is his M.O. He has the most dangerous scrambling defence of any fighter in the UFC

Maia unless he is braindead, will have learned after his last fight he needs to utilise his BJJ again. I have him winning his next fight by submission

Dunno about the last one.
 
#7 ·
Jones/Hendo (Jones winning).
Belfort/Silva (Belfort winning).
Machida/Bader (Machida winning).
JDS/Mir (JDS winning, knock out).
Silva/Brenneman (Silva winning).
Aldo/Koch (Aldo winning, brutally).

Probably more but I can't think at the moment. Not so sure about the Machida one, but i'll always support machida! :p In all reality i'd never have the balls to put a grand on any of these though :p.
 
#11 ·
Jones/Hendo (Jones winning).
Belfort/Silva (Belfort winning).
Machida/Bader (Machida winning).
JDS/Mir (JDS winning, knock out).
Silva/Brenneman (Silva winning).
Aldo/Koch (Aldo winning, brutally).


Probably more but I can't think at the moment. Not so sure about the Machida one, but i'll always support machida! :p In all reality i'd never have the balls to put a grand on any of these though :p.
Silva has never fought a wrestler like Brenneman and he may very well be controlled on route to a decision loss because of it. You have to remember Brenneman outwrestled Story and was outwrestling Hendricks, 2 very good wrestlers.

Aldo vs Koch will be a lot closer then some people think. Aldo looked human against Hominick and Florian and Koch is a tough talented kid.
 
#14 ·
Depends on how much juice the site installs on big favorites. Somewhere between a 4:1 and 6:1 favorite, and it'll probably keep going once the bets start rolling in.


I wouldn't bet an extreme amount on any single fight ever. For me the joy on gambling is making lots of smaller bets on many fights and trying to achieve some sort of positive return (very hard). Line prediction is the key.
 
#10 ·
This is a similar list to what I was thinking as well. Only I would not include the Brookins fight or the Stout fight. Oliviera has some slick subs and might be able to catch Brookins and Fisher has already beat Stout once and fought a very close fight before that.

I would also add

Hettes/Siler
Story/Attonito
Davis/Griggs
 
#16 ·
I could never "happily" bet $1000 on a fight, Big upsets happen way to often in MMA to bet that kind of money. If i had to put it on a fight, right now i would go with who ever Rory Mcdonalds next fight is, ive said it since his first or 2nd fight in the ufc that he is Jon Jones of the WW division, absoulte beast.
 
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