UPCOMING FIGHTS that you would happily put $1000 on? - Page 2 - MMA Forum - UFC Forums - UFC Results - MMA Videos
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Old 05-19-2012, 01:00 PM   #11 (permalink)
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Originally Posted by Leakler View Post
Jones/Hendo (Jones winning).
Belfort/Silva (Belfort winning).
Machida/Bader (Machida winning).
JDS/Mir (JDS winning, knock out).
Silva/Brenneman (Silva winning).
Aldo/Koch (Aldo winning, brutally).


Probably more but I can't think at the moment. Not so sure about the Machida one, but i'll always support machida! :P In all reality i'd never have the balls to put a grand on any of these though .
Silva has never fought a wrestler like Brenneman and he may very well be controlled on route to a decision loss because of it. You have to remember Brenneman outwrestled Story and was outwrestling Hendricks, 2 very good wrestlers.

Aldo vs Koch will be a lot closer then some people think. Aldo looked human against Hominick and Florian and Koch is a tough talented kid.
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Old 05-19-2012, 01:14 PM   #12 (permalink)
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This is a similar list to what I was thinking as well. Only I would not include the Brookins fight or the Stout fight. Oliviera has some slick subs and might be able to catch Brookins and Fisher has already beat Stout once and fought a very close fight before that.

I would also add

Hettes/Siler
Story/Attonito
Davis/Griggs
Siler/Hettes is interesting because Siler seems to have developed into a top MMA guy based on his last two fights. Hettes is a future champion/contender but this feels like it could be a trap fight.

Davis/Griggs Griggs already defeated Bobby Lashley he can handle big wrestlers I worry that Davis might get dropped and finished in this one.

Story/Attonito good fight I agree Story should win.

From what I've seen from both Brookins and Oliveira the only edge Oliveira has is his striking defense might be better. But Brookins has the better BJJ, Wrestling, and now power Striking. I think this is a great fight but this is the winner becomes the face of the future of the 145 division.
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Old 05-19-2012, 01:43 PM   #13 (permalink)
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Old 05-19-2012, 01:53 PM   #14 (permalink)
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JDS vs. Mir is a total lock. I havent even checked the odds yet. Anyone know them off hand?
Depends on how much juice the site installs on big favorites. Somewhere between a 4:1 and 6:1 favorite, and it'll probably keep going once the bets start rolling in.


I wouldn't bet an extreme amount on any single fight ever. For me the joy on gambling is making lots of smaller bets on many fights and trying to achieve some sort of positive return (very hard). Line prediction is the key.
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Old 05-19-2012, 01:55 PM   #15 (permalink)
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Silva has never fought a wrestler like Brenneman and he may very well be controlled on route to a decision loss because of it. You have to remember Brenneman outwrestled Story and was outwrestling Hendricks, 2 very good wrestlers.

Aldo vs Koch will be a lot closer then some people think. Aldo looked human against Hominick and Florian and Koch is a tough talented kid.
Did you see what he did to Mark Hominick?

Of course he looked human, anyone who dishes out an ass whippin' that bad is gonna be tired. Koch is a good fighter and a very good striker but Aldo is an elite striker, an elite fighter, and his ground game ain't nothing to be ****ed with. Koch is basically fighting a better version of himself.
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Old 05-19-2012, 02:10 PM   #16 (permalink)
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I could never "happily" bet $1000 on a fight, Big upsets happen way to often in MMA to bet that kind of money. If i had to put it on a fight, right now i would go with who ever Rory Mcdonalds next fight is, ive said it since his first or 2nd fight in the ufc that he is Jon Jones of the WW division, absoulte beast.
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Old 05-19-2012, 02:17 PM   #17 (permalink)
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JDS over Mir easy. And if Lavar Johnson hits Struve with just one of the punches he hit Barry with. Johnson by death.
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Old 05-19-2012, 04:42 PM   #18 (permalink)
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Originally Posted by 420atalon View Post
This is a similar list to what I was thinking as well. Only I would not include the Brookins fight or the Stout fight. Oliviera has some slick subs and might be able to catch Brookins and Fisher has already beat Stout once and fought a very close fight before that.

I would also add

Hettes/Siler
Story/Attonito
Davis/Griggs
I can't wait to see the beating Hettes is going to put on Siler...probably my fav FW at the moment after seeing him dominate Nam Pham.
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Old 05-20-2012, 03:33 PM   #19 (permalink)
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Old 05-20-2012, 07:25 PM   #20 (permalink)
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JDS over Mir... Mir looked dreadful against Nogueira up untill it hit the mat. Mir doesn't have the takedowns to get it to the mad, he's gonna getdestroyed.

Hyun-Kim v Maia to go to a decision. Hyun-Kim has won his last 5 by decision, and Maia's last 7 fights have gone to the judges. Both guys are grapplers who seem to have found a new love in stand-up, and neither have the power to finish.

Jimmo to beat Perosh. Jimmo is a beast at LHW, even if he's not the most interesting fighter. Perosh is about 40, looked totally average in each of his last 3 wins, and now he's not fighting some regional LHW he'll get smashed.

Phil Davis to beat Chad Griggs. This is gonna go exactly how the Lashley-Griggs fight went except Davis won't get tired. Griggs is a gamer, but he's a very average fighter whereas Davis is a monster.
Yikes dude. Far from safe bets.
Mir - how many of his fights was he getting beaten in where he grabbed hold of something and subbed his opponent? Lesnar, Nog, Silvia, Sims to name a few. That is his M.O. He has the most dangerous scrambling defence of any fighter in the UFC

Maia unless he is braindead, will have learned after his last fight he needs to utilise his BJJ again. I have him winning his next fight by submission

Dunno about the last one.
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