What will be the biggest upset of the night? - MMA Forum - UFC Forums - UFC Results - MMA Videos
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post #1 of 14 (permalink) Old 07-06-2012, 09:56 PM Thread Starter
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What will be the biggest upset of the night?

Cody McKenzie (4.71)
Tito Ortiz (3.00)
Chael Sonnen (2.42)
Fabricio Camoes (2.22)
Cung Le (2.00)
Riki Fukuda (1.61)
John Allesio (1.51)
Khabib Nurmagomedov (1.40)
Demian Maia (1.28)
Rafaello Oliveira (1.21)
Mike Easton (1.05)

What I love about this card is how strong the underdogs are. I look at the list of those guys and frankly I don't see a single guy I can write off and say yeah he's doomed.

Cody McKenzie, has his guillotine that he can slap on from the guard up against a guy with a championship hangover.

Tito Ortiz, you never know how motivated Forrest is going to be or Tito.

Chael Sonnen, most of the fighters are picking him to win.

Fabricio Camoes, we all know Melvin has a weak sub game.

Cung Le, Cote has lost to middle of the road MW strikers before.

Riki Fukudo, Rafaello Oliveira, and Mike Easton are basically pickem fights.

Allesio is fighting a guy who lost three fights in a row.

Khabib Nurmagomedov is an unknown prospect taking on a veteran giant gate keeper.

and then you have Demian Maia facing off against DYK god knows what that fight is going to look like.

So the Question what do you see as tonight's BIGGEST upset as in has the best odds to pay out. And how many upsets do you see tonight.
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post #2 of 14 (permalink) Old 07-06-2012, 10:17 PM
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I wouldn't pick him to win, but I just don't see Tito as a 3:1 dog. Forrest's game was based on his ability to take a beating and keep moving forward, now he doesn't have the heart or chin to do that anymore it seems and his biggest strengths (size and wrestling) match up pretty evenly with Tito.

I see between 2 and 5 upsets here, but no big ones except for maybe Tito. Camoes might win because Guillard's gameplan is sure to be awful, Fukuda could outwrestle Phillippou etc. The path to victory is there for just about everyone (although there is no way in hell Mckenzie gets a hold of Mendes' neck).

The only favorites that I like the line on are Cote and Tibau. I really like the Tibau line.




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post #3 of 14 (permalink) Old 07-06-2012, 10:17 PM
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McKenzie would easily be the biggest upset of the night, this guy was barely hanging on at 155 now he's fighting one of the top five Featherweights in the world and his best weapon is the signature move of Team Alpha Male, which is where Mendes trains.

After that, I'd be pretty shocked if Cung Le won, but not as surprised as I would be if McKenzie wins.

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post #4 of 14 (permalink) Old 07-06-2012, 10:33 PM
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I believe Tito will win...Tito has actually looked decent his last two outtings until he starts getting hit hard.

Forrest has no power though.

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post #5 of 14 (permalink) Old 07-06-2012, 10:45 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Roflcopter View Post
I believe Tito will win...Tito has actually looked decent his last two outtings until he starts getting hit hard.

Forrest has no power though.
I hope he does he will win me some monies


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post #6 of 14 (permalink) Old 07-06-2012, 11:24 PM
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I guess the safest bet could be Cung Le pulling out the upset. And then maybe Tito Ortiz, I dont think Griffin is all that these days, but he should do enough to beat someone like Tito.
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post #7 of 14 (permalink) Old 07-07-2012, 02:32 PM
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McKenzie would be the biggest upset by far. However Tito beating Forrest, while a smaller upset if one at all IMO, is much more likely to happen.
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post #8 of 14 (permalink) Old 07-07-2012, 02:54 PM
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Tito has way more of a chin than Forrest does, that is why I'm picking Tito to win. It seems like Forrest just gets tapped these days and goes down.



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post #9 of 14 (permalink) Old 07-07-2012, 04:41 PM Thread Starter
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Stockton902 View Post
Tito has way more of a chin than Forrest does, that is why I'm picking Tito to win. It seems like Forrest just gets tapped these days and goes down.
He's also been dropped in his last two fights over gut shots. So it's going to be who can tag the weak spot on the fighter first.
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post #10 of 14 (permalink) Old 07-07-2012, 05:20 PM
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Silva winning by UD
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