It is really rare these days for subs from the back and you think that is likely against the guy with probably the best top control in all of MMA? I can't see that happening, I think Condit has a better chance winning standing (not a good chance but sure as hell better than catching something from the bottom).
GSP has faced great wrestlers and guys with great pedigrees, but who has he faced that has applied the pressure from the bottom? The answer is no one. Most try to tie him up and hope for a standup, Condit doesn't do that, he, like Florian, instantly attacks. It is easier to have great top control when the guy just wants to get out from under you.
To win a fight you have to do something better than the other guy. What exactly does Condit do better than GSP? Cardio? Striking? Wrestling? I don't see anything that Condit is obviously better at, or not better enough to stop GSP from doing what he wants to do. I don't see anything that Condit offers that GSP's previous opponents didn't also offer.
Condit's striking is better, he has shown he does have power, and funny enough like GSP of old, is really diverse with his striking. He throws traditional combinations in non-traditional ways. He never throws the same thing back to back, and really will throw anything at any time.
Wrestling, there really is no contest here. Condit is the best wrestler in all of WW...
Just kidding. As I mentioned, it is up to GSP if this fight goes to the ground or not. The only way I see Condit getting it there would be to pull guard as GSP goes to tie up. Otherwise the fight takes place where GSP wants it.
To piggy off that, I think BJJ wise Condit is the better of the two by quite a bit.
In Cardio I give it a tie. They both have great cardio and push on even when gassed. I don't see one guy tiring out and trying to ride out a round.
Condit is a great, well rounded fighter but so is Jon Fitch and this fight is going to look like that one. GSP just does everything a little bit better.
Fair comparison except I disagree that GSP is better in every area. I think Condit is the better striker since GSP has backed off from his varied offense, and I think on the ground Condit is more dangerous. By no means do I think this is an easy fight for either fighter and I expect if GSP wins this will be the hardest victory of his career.