Aldo's chances of a finish are better, he's by far the most dangerous guy Edgar has fought on the feet, even more dangerous than BJ but I don't see Edgar looking to make this a striking affair, I think he'll try and take down Aldo. Aldo's got some pretty good TDD but Edgar is by far the best fighter he's ever fought, if this drags out late I see Edgar stealing four and five and this could end up coming down to who wins 1, 2, and 3 if Aldo doesn't finish.
I am almost sure this match up will make for an awesome fight. I'm going with a bit of an underdog pick and taking Edgar to win this one. I think they will meet again at some point regardless of the outcome but I see Edgar coming out and putting on possibly the best performance of his career and winning a decision or stopping Aldo in the later rounds by fighter at a fast pace throughout and using a combination his striking, wrestling and work in the clinch. Very tough fight to pick a winner though as I could picture Aldo devastating Edgar as well. I look forward to seeing this one.
*He can be hurt badly, but over come it and battle back.
*Exceptional conditioning and cardio for days EVEN after getting pummelled.
*Pretty fast with very good movement. Much better technique and footwork than Mighty Mouse.
* Susceptible to leg kicks, but with 10 rounds under his belt now against Bendo he should know how to check the leg kicks by now or counter it.
* Wrestler who can wear down Aldo.
Aldo is a far dynamic fighter, but can he put em away. Edgar's pretty damn hard to finish. I thought Maynard nailed em pretty damn hard, but he couldn't finish...x2.
Unless Edgar has a bad weight cut I think he takes the UD or split. Hominick laid the blueprint.
This could easily go very similar to Aldo/Faber but I think when Edgar works on something, he gets extremely good at it extremely quickly. He'll be drilling kick checks and avoiding all day every day. Like Mercy said, he's gone 10 rounds with Bendo, and although Aldo as another animal when it comes to leg kicks, I don't think he'll get his movement taken away early enough for it to have a huge impact on the fight.
I think round 1 we'll see Edgar get smashed by something huge. Aldo is a fast starter and we all know Edgar gets hit with big shots early on, and Aldo is a lot faster than Maynard.
Round 2-3 will be fairly even with Edgar starting to pull ahead midway through the 3rd, with rounds 4 and 5 resulting in pretty easy rounds for Edgar and maybe a late TKO.
Its pretty hard to check a leg kick while using so much movement and if he stops moving he gets tagged on the chin. Striking with Aldo would be a huge mistake as he is why more versatile than Bendo, Penn or Maynard.
Edgar's only chance is to make this a dog fight, takedowns, clinching up against the cage, trying his hardest to catch any leg kicks which would get Aldo tired...its his only chance.
"I think round 1 we'll see Edgar get smashed by something huge."
I also think if this happens Aldo is not letting him off the hook.
I wouldn't say Aldo's cardio is suspect, but I don't think it's anywhere near what Frankies is... and unlike some guys who cut down a weight class, the only difference I see with Frankie at this weight is he won't be grossly outsized.
If Aldo doesn't finish in one or two, Edgar will in 4 or 5... I'm betting on the latter.
When you're this size, 10lb is a lot. Edgar may have worked down to it and won't need to cut anything, but it's his first time in the division and he's taking on the kingpin.
Add to that how well rounded and tricky Aldo is, he has an answer for everything and finishing ability everywhere, Edgar will need to be more cautious than normal but he'll have to be aggressive to score points.
This is a close fight on paper but Aldo is by far Edgar's most dangerous opponent for a long time. Jose is young, hungry, this will be his 6th title defense at 145lb and Frankie's first fight at 145lb, my money is on the ultra-impressive Champ.
I'd have liked Edgar to get a title eliminator fight first, get a win on the board to forget his last two fights, then take on Aldo. Not complaining, I'm ecstatic about this fight, I just hope Dana's love for Frankie remains if he loses.
I think Aldo will get the win here, but if match goes into the championship rounds it will favor Edgar. We the MMA fan do not want a decision here because at this point we do not want to see another instant rematch. TKO Aldo round 2
This is actually the second super fight to my knowledge.
BJ Penn vs GSP II was the first since BJ was the LW champ who narrowly lost to Edgar the 1st time and more decisively the 2nd time.
Vitor vs LHW title holder could have been since Vitor was the ex-champ, but it was awhile back.
This time Frankie was a champ north of 145lbs who's coming down so I don't really see him as a major under dog at all.
Edgar is use to being the fastest, but Aldo will be his quickest opponent unless he trained with Mighty Mouse. He does train with Phil Nurse who's pretty quick in his own right so I think that's pretty good practice on paper of course.
Aldo ironically even though he's the featherweight champ is actually probably bigger weighing in at 160-170 from what I remember. So who's stronger then. I'd have to say Edgar because of his wrestling background and the fact he's fought extremely strong fighters in the LHW division in Maynard and Bendo.
I would agree Aldo would leg kick em to death, but for a championship caliber fighter who's already experienced that he should know better. Plus all he needs to do is watch the Faber fight. We're going to see Edgar out point em in and stifle Aldo repeatedly wearing em out minute by minute round by round.
If there's a finish rest assured it's Aldo as he's the more powerful and dynamic striker of the two. Personally if there's an "upset" this would be the fight to bet on for the odds. Edgar has the tools and mind set to win, but it might not be the most fan friendly.
I think even for the pros pick it'll be fairly even.
Edigar is a runner. Even the audience gets dizzy while he spins around. I hate his style and his outscoring boring method of winning, rarely finishing a fight. With the risk of being kicked, I foresee even more wild circling.
Rooting to Aldo to connect anything from his arsenal.
After all those leg kicks from Benson (plus the infamous upkick), Frankie's gonna be extra bouncy in this one, expecting impeccable footwork and a lot of jerky movement. Aldo's cardio better be tiptop!
Luckbox go into your user cp and just press save, it's happened to me a few times, it will be fine after you press save without changing the code.
Frankie is paying 2.60 per $1 you place on him. Aldo has bad odds.
KRY it's still showing the BJ one.
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