Finishing rate in UFC drops from 100 to 50% over 20 years, now steady - MMA Forum - UFC Forums - UFC Results - MMA Videos
UFC The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) is a U.S.-based mixed martial arts organization, recognized as the largest MMA promotion in the world. The UFC is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada and is owned and operated by Zuffa, LLC. This promotion is responsible for solidifying the sport's postion in the history-books. UFC is currently undergoing a remarkable surge in popularity, along with greater mainstream media coverage. UFC programming can now be seen on FOX, FX, and FUEL TV in the United States, as well as in 35 other countries worldwide.

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post #1 of 10 (permalink) Old 06-25-2013, 06:30 PM Thread Starter
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Finishing rate in UFC drops from 100 to 50% over 20 years, now steady

When the UFC debuted in 1993, the finish rate was 100%, as there was no other way to end the contest. It was not until 1995 that time limits debuted, and eventually decisions.

20 years later, in 2013, the rate declined to 50% EXACTLY - of 176 fights to date in 2013, 88 have been finished by TKO/KO or submission.

While fans of the HOLY F@$%ING $#!^ moments that make the sport so compelling may look at the stats with dismay, the decline has now stabilized at 50%, for years.

It was the institution of weight classes that give us the best insight into the trends during the modern Zuffa era. When finish rates hit a decade high of 75% in 2005, it was the first full year the UFC went without lightweight fights. Lightweights were officially brought back in 2006, and by 2007 the division became the most commonly competed weight class, with more fights taking place at 155 pounds than in any other division. (That has remained true every year since.) Rebounding in 2008, the finish rate hit 68% in a year where slightly more fights occurred in heavier divisions than in years prior. But this composition of divisions quickly went on a diet, and over the next two years fighters began migrating down weight classes and tilting the scales towards smaller divisions.

This period in 2009-2010 saw the greatest decline in finish rates combined with the rapid increase in televised UFC events, and likely an overall increase in the competitiveness within the UFC. In 2010 the first featherweights were introduced before the year’s end, with the WEC merger taking full effect in 2011. By 2012 the first flyweights hit the Octagon, and by then half of all UFC fights occurred at lightweight or below.

The most interesting trend to note is that despite the slimming trend for UFC fighters, the overall finish rate has completely stabilized since 2010. As we saw earlier smaller divisions generally finish fewer fights, due primarily to less knockout power, but the dropoff stabilizes in the smallest divisions. So despite more and more fights in the flyweight through featherweight divisions, the finish rate is no longer dropping with the declining share of heavier fights.
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post #2 of 10 (permalink) Old 06-25-2013, 06:33 PM
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Everyone is better and more well rounded then in 1993. It's not as easy to finish people as it used to be even though I would also argue fighters ability to implement offense has also improved.
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post #3 of 10 (permalink) Old 06-25-2013, 07:02 PM
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100% is pretty easy to achieve when there are no weigh classes and time limits.

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post #4 of 10 (permalink) Old 06-25-2013, 08:06 PM
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Hate to say it but this is a huge reason I'm slowly losing interest in MMMA. When every PPV and every fight is a long boring fight, instead of a balls to the wall KO fest I get bored really easily.

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post #5 of 10 (permalink) Old 06-25-2013, 08:16 PM
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It makes it that much more exciting and impressive when a finish does happen IMO. You have to be really good nowadays to finish your opponent.
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post #6 of 10 (permalink) Old 06-25-2013, 10:24 PM
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As has been pointed out, I think the quality of modern day fighter in comparison with fighters from the 1990s more than explains this.
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post #7 of 10 (permalink) Old 06-26-2013, 10:54 PM
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Anderson finished 82% of his fights in UFC, not counting the TKO attributed do Cote injury. If you are a stats geek and count that as a finish, 88%, then.

Anderson have been doing his part for UFC.
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post #8 of 10 (permalink) Old 06-27-2013, 02:59 AM
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Originally Posted by MMA-Sportsman View Post
Anderson finished 82% of his fights in UFC, not counting the TKO attributed do Cote injury. If you are a stats geek and count that as a finish, 88%, then.

Anderson have been doing his part for UFC.
Jones is up there too with 85%, as is Cain with 82%. Plus Jones on average fought 2.6 times a year compared to Anderson's 2.4 and Cain's 2.2, so that makes it marginally better IMO. GSP is middle of the road with a 45% finish rate. Bendo is the worst, with 0/7 finishes in the UFC.

I think the finish rate will also go down more with the lighter weight classes being added. They just don't pack as much punch.

It's interesting to note that while the top 3 weight class champs I mentioned above all have finish rates of 80%+, most of them (T)KOs, the lower weight div champs - LW, FW, BW (both Barao and Cruz), FlW - have a combined total of 3 finishes in 25 UFC fights (and only ONE measly KO/TKO by Aldo who I believe is the most exceptional of them). Bendo, Cruz and Mighty Mouse don't have a single finish to their name in 16 UFC fights.

But I guess you're not a true MMA fan if you don't love point fighting by undersized men.
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post #9 of 10 (permalink) Old 06-27-2013, 03:26 AM
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Great article TKO. The yellow card has got to be introduced. That would increase finish rates by another 10% if not more.

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post #10 of 10 (permalink) Old 06-27-2013, 03:35 AM
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Finishes don't matter that much to me in terms of entertainment, obviously i like seeing a good KO or sub but I would always prefer to watch a 3-5 round technical war. Unless it's Anderson fighting.

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