I'm kind of surprised to see people making KOS the favourite. I know he has improved greatly, but what of that improvement did we see against Sanchez? Sure he won, but it was possibly the slowest fight ive seen in ages, and far from a showcase of the new skillsets he has apparently developed.
Lets break it down.
Striking - GSP without question
Wrestling - KOS without question
Submissions - GSP
Takedowns - KOS
Defense - GSP
GnP - Even
KOS is an insane wrestler, better than hughes, but with the problems matt had taking down GSP i dont think KOS can count of the automatic takedown which means he's going to have to strike with Georges, and frankly, i dont think he can. So he's going to have to risk his neck striking to keep Georges off balance to get the takedown, and once on the ground im not convinced his GnP or submissions is good enough to end the fight considering GSP is excellent off his back with a really dynamic guard and solid submissions.
KOS might be able to grind out a decision by keeping top position, but i dont think he'll be able to keep GSP pinned like that for 3 rounds (assuming they spend 3 rounds on the mat). I think if it stays standing GSP will pick him apart, and if it goes to the ground i think GSP will be able to pull a sub....or maybe a sweep and TKO with GnP. Fact is, KOS is a wrestler, and we havent seen a lot of him off his back.....if GSP gets on top we all know he can end a fight from there and i dont see KOS having good enough defense to starve it off.
Gonna be a great fight though