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**Aaronyman** · 01-08-2008, 10:06 AM

mishima fought like a D level fighter in that fight w/ stevenson so I don't consider that impressive whatsoever

however, joe's wins over edwards and pellegrino are very solid. Joe will be a tough fight for BJ, but I think BJ will still win, eventually, after being pounded, joe will give his back and bj will catch a sub

**Damone** · 01-08-2008, 04:44 PM

Mishima's not a D-level fighter. D-level fighters don't beat guys like Aurelio and Imanari. He was a solid B-level LW when Joe fought him.

I think Werdum's guard is good enough to avoid most of Gonzaga's power shots. Also, Werdum's pretty good at not taking a crapload of punishment in fights.

Dan_Edge · 01-09-2008, 11:36 AM

I made a blog entry on this topic yesterday here, which is reproduced below:
------------------------------

The UFC website posted a "keys to the fight" analysis yesterday on the upcoming Lightweight championship bout between BJ Penn and Joe Stevenson here.

From that article: "...Penn is so talented that the outcome of a fight rarely depends on what his opponent does in the ring. He doesn’t need to key off any one Stevenson weakness. He doesn’t need to worry about avoiding any particular Stevenson strength."

Considering Joe's Lightweight record and his dominant performances in the UFC, I'm surprised that the UFC website writers consider Penn to be such a heavy favorite. I mean, Penn "doesn’t need to worry about ... Stevenson['s] strength[s]"?

If Penn is as intelligent a fighter as he seems, I'm sure he is not taking this perspective. One can be sure that Penn is busy in the gym working on a game plan with his trainers to deal with Joe's considerable strengths, and exploit his relative weaknesses. If Penn takes the attitude that he can just come in and impose his will, without taking Joe's heavy hands and grappling skills into account, then we're in for a very short fight.

Fortunately for fight fans, I seriously doubt that Penn is taking Joe lightly -- which means that we're in for an exciting bout that could go the distance.

I hesitate to make a prediction since I'm such a big Joe "Daddy" fan, but I'll do it anyway. If Penn pushes the pace early and spends most of the first two rounds on top of Joe, then I'd have to give the advantage to Penn. But if Penn is unable to maintain a dominant position for the first two and a half rounds, I don't think he will have what it takes to go the distance with Joe.

My upset prediction: Joe "Daddy" Stevenson wins by unanimous decision after five rounds of exciting MMA action.

--Dan Edge

hughesSucks · 01-09-2008, 11:27 PM

BJ will win, Decision

Tonyblast · 01-10-2008, 02:11 AM

as much as I want BJ to destroy Big Daddy, I think hes gonna upset Penn.

something stupid is gonna happen in the first round.

Nick_V03 · 01-11-2008, 12:51 AM

I'll take Penn for the win against Stevenson although it wont be by domination, Stevenson will put up a good fight.

Hmm.. I'll pick Gonzaga to beat Werdum.

Davis should beat Liaudin, then he should get a shot at a top contender, the guys won his last 10 fights, if he wins this fight it will be 11 straight wins, I'd say hes earned the right.

sub fan · 01-11-2008, 12:57 AM

No way is Stevenson going to win this fight, Penn used to say that he gave up on training for fights, either your a figher or your not, now this was when he had a split decision loss VS GSP and a loss to Hughes only because he gassed out in the 3rd, he absolutley dominated the first two rounds! Penn is the most talented figher in the UFC and now that he is in shape I don't believe anybody can beat him at light weight...Not even steroid boy.

Good to see Marcus Davis and Kendal Grove back in action, I would pick them to win for sure. I don't even know why Sakara is even still in the UFC, that guy has not beaten anybody, ex pro boxer? I don't think so...He has looked horrible every time I watched him fight.

**ezcw** · 01-13-2008, 10:46 PM

I dont know what it is about Werdum, i just dont like his mannerisms in the ring or the way he fights.

So heres to hoping GG breaks him in two.

**Damone** · 01-13-2008, 11:41 PM

I think it's odd, and sort of sad, that people would consider Joe beating BJ an upset. Joe Stevenson is a legitimately good fighter, who is on a nice 4 fight winning streak in the LW division. He has a good chance to beat BJ Penn, and people should realize that.

He may win, he may lose, but he should never be discounted, even when he's facing BJ Penn.