I always love seeing tito cry when he loses, it hasn't happened in awhile so that would be nice. I haven't seen tito fight anybody that is any good since fought a demoralized vitor belfort last year. But the fights he has had since then he looked pretty good.
If you are going to throw with chuck liddell then you better look good against forrest griffen and a 42 year old ken shamrock.
This said, tito is probably pretty hungry for the belt so he has a good chance to win. It will be a good fight either way. Too close to make a call, except that I hope chuck wups him good.