Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Toronto, Canada
I'll post what I put in another thread:
I think it's a great fight, and I've wanted it to happen since both were the champions of their respective organizations. It would have truly been the kind of Pride vs. UFC fight we wanted a couple years back, rather than Anderson/Hendo which is basically Pride vs. Pride (not that I'm complaining about that fight, I'm stoked to say the least).
As for how it goes, I have to go with Hendo. Rich is a great fighter, but he got over-hyped and overrated heavily during his tenure as champion and I don't know what he's got for Dan. His hands are faster and his combinations are more fluid, but Dan has decent striking technique, much heavier hands, and a far superior chin. Rich might tag Dan, but Hendo can shrug it off. If Hendo hits Rich, I doubt he'll shrug it off. If Dan thinks there's too much heat in the stand-up he can always take the fight down, and Rich has never shown the kind of takedown defense that makes me think he can stop Dan's attempts even half of the time.
Wandi stuffed Hendo’s takedowns in a ring, where clinch takedowns are harder to apply. Greco-Roman takedowns are best applied in the cage because the attacker can press his opponent's back to it and work for leverage while also keeping them trapped. In the ring if you press too hard you're going to fall out of it and you get the tension from the ropes that can actually help your opponent to get momentum and escape. So, Hendo in a cage has better takedowns than Hendo in the ring. The only advantage that the cage gives to someone wanting to escape a takedown is the ability to push off of it and scramble back to the feet, ala Chuck Liddell.
I can't say definitively that Rich wouldn't stuff his takedowns, but I don't see it being likely. Rampage is bigger, stronger, and a better wrestler than Rich and he wasn't capable of shrugging off many of Hendo's takedown attempts, Rich wouldn't fare much better at all in my opinion. The weakest part of Rich's game is his wrestling and he'll be the first to admit that. The only place he holds an advantage in this fight is striking from the outside, and it's not even that much of an advantage due to the aforementioned discrepancies in punching power and sturdiness of chin.
I'm not counting Rich out, just stating the obvious and that is the fact that Hendo has more tools with which to win and more experience against top competition.
Suizida tried to tell me that Jardine's Techno viking monkey style was too much for Vera's overhyped skills but i was to busy nuthugging to listen to 'the truth'