Rampage was also better than Forrest at damn near everything and Forrest still managed to win that fight. And I wouldn't say Forrest has a good chin at all, he has amazing recovering time when he's put on his ass but he drops quite easy. It showed in the Jackson fight after he was dropped, he covered up when Jackson unleashed punches. Rashad can knock out Forrest, he just needs to be ready to get on top of him before Forrest clues in to where he is.
I don't think Rashad has bad cardio, but definatly not the greatest but that is one of the easiest things to change in your gameplan as long as you train really hard at it. Tito used to have shitty cardio and is now known for having some of the best in the LHW division.
Forrest won't sub Rashad as easy as you think, Rashad is a strong wrestler and will know how to place himself to avoid a quick submission from Forrest. But Rashad's sub defense hasn't really been tested, but I haven't seen crazy BJJ displays from Forrest either.
Forrest works with one of the best gameplan masters in Couture. But Rashad also trains at a camp known for having some of the best gameplans brought into the Octagon with Greg Jackson.
I'm not rooting for Rashad, but this fight is a hell of a lot closer than you make it out to be.
Rampage dropped him once with a clean uppercut which would knock of most everyone in the LHW division. Forrest also took full power punces from Rampage for 5 rounds and didn't get dropped again. Thats called an amazing chin unless you think Rampage like a girl. Yes your right though Forrest has incredible recovery time. People forget just because Forrest got KO'ed once that he has taken some bombs before.
Also what follow up did I see when Rampage dropped him? Forrest if I recall correctly Forrest grabbed overhooks, took time to recover, Rampage landed almost nothing on the ground and nothing with any power. You seriously need to rewatch the fight.
I just did though and while Forrests BJJ didn't look as good the second time around thats more offensively then anything else. His defense and gaurd looked great, as it did in the Shogun fight. His guard passing is still nice, so I'm quite sure he can sweep Rashad or alteast make it so that the only thing Rashad can do on the ground is lay and pray (even then that might not work).
Standing Forrest will **** Rashads legs, probably to the point where he can't walk by rd. 3
Even if he can, he'll be way to gassed from Forrest's pace to stand or defend a TD.
FTR I'm not denying Rashads power, and I know if he hits Forrest perfectly, he may KO him. But he won't TKO forrest, it has to be an absolute KO or Forrest will just grab overhooks/wrist control, rest and sweep or stand.
I honestly belive minus a flash KO which probably won't happen because of Forrests chin and gameplanning, his only chance is to lay and pray, and that won't work in the later rounds so yeah, I've definitely got Forrest winning this one.
You over estimate Rashad.