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Old 10-23-2008, 06:20 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Aaronyman's Gambler's Bets UFC 90

Wow, this card has got some great numbers. Here we go:

BEST BET OF THE NIGHT:

Junior Dos Santos to beat Fabricio Werdum +550

Wow, this is probably the best bet I've seen so far in 2008. Junior is a Blackhouse BJJ blackbelt and an excellent striker. If he can pull an Arlovski and avoid the TD, I could see him landing better shots and taking a UD or even finishing Werdum. Will he? probably not, but stylistically, this fight is dangerous for Werdum. Pretty amazing seeing as how Cote is only a +375 underdog, and this guy has alot more ways to win than Cote does.

That's the only amazing bet, but I'd also think about....

McFedries to upset Leites +350....this fight doesn't leave the first round, as Leites is a subwizard and Drew throws bombs.....but the fact is, Leites wrestling isn't that amazing and his striking is not good. Since it won't leave round 1, the short notice stuff means very little, and I think Drew has a decent chance of KOing Leites.

Alves @ +120 is a decent bet, but not great. he's had a lil more time to prepare, and he's beaten wrestlers before....so we'll see

input?
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Old 10-23-2008, 06:23 PM   #2 (permalink)
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I'd say go elsewhere if you are only getting +550 on Dos Santos.
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Old 10-23-2008, 06:25 PM   #3 (permalink)

 
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Im amazed that the odds on Cote/Silva are similiar to McFedries/Leites, I thought Drew would +200 at best, If I had money to bet I would definatly spread some cash around as this card is filled with underdogs who are being heavily underated Id expect a couple upsets.
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Old 10-23-2008, 06:40 PM   #4 (permalink)
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I'd say go elsewhere if you are only getting +550 on Dos Santos.
Only $550?? Thats a big underdog bro! Serra was like +650 against GSP. I think that is a pretty good bet. $25 to win like 140 or so. I didnt know much about this guy, but the more I looked into it the more I came away impressed.
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Old 10-23-2008, 06:42 PM   #5 (permalink)
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Yeah, because I wasn't implying that there are better odds out there for him. But if you want to think you are dropping some knowledge on me, go ahead.
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Old 10-23-2008, 07:34 PM   #6 (permalink)
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i get paid 7 at bet365.com where i usually bet at.
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Old 10-23-2008, 08:10 PM   #7 (permalink)
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Yeah, because I wasn't implying that there are better odds out there for him. But if you want to think you are dropping some knowledge on me, go ahead.
All I do is drop knowledge

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i get paid 7 at bet365.com where i usually bet at.
Thats crazy. Noone knows who this guy is. I honestly never heard of him before this fight. But doing some research and looking at some footage of him, he looks legit. Is he good enough to beat Werdum? Probably not, but at +700 its more than worth the risk.
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Old 10-23-2008, 08:49 PM   #8 (permalink)
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i usually always make a thread posting odds i think are gold. This ufc isnt so great imo but like you said at these odds its totally worth dropping a couple bucks and i think i will
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Old 10-23-2008, 09:47 PM   #9 (permalink)
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the combined odds for santos and drew is 30 to 1.....i think i'll throw a couple bucks down on that....
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Old 10-23-2008, 10:04 PM   #10 (permalink)
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Quote:
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All I do is drop knowledge
Not relevant knowledge because I mean you seem satisfied with the second worst odds I have seen for the guy.
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