Rubberguard is pretty effective against people who don't understand how it works. I don't think Nog will get caught with his hands on the mat or allow Mir to lock the foot in place across his jaw. If it even comes down to Mir working off his back, he will be in serious trouble. I'm so excited to see these guys grapple, and although Nog is my guy, Mir is very dangerous from any position on the ground. I like Nog's gameplan though to keep it standing for the first round and tire Mir out since he's been known to come in out of shape and gas out. I see Nog winning by TKO in the 3rd round.