[applause comes to a close]
Okay so as most of you know I'm coming off of that trainwreck of a night at the UFC Fight for the Troops...lets hope this one goes better...it's an interesting card for me, because none of my favourite fighters are participating...hopefully that will limit any bias that I normally don't have anyway
here are the odds from BODOG
Quinton Jackson +105
IMO this is the best bet of the evening. The question you should be asking yourself when analyzing this fight is? Will Rampage get Wanderlei down at will? if yes, how will the fight play out with Rampage on top of Wanderlei?
Can Wanderlei get up? Can he submit Rampage? I would really doubt it...and it's going to be a painful reminder to Wanderlei fans when he loses a UD to Rampage.
Sorry folks, but Wanderlei is an eroded pebble in the stream. His striking is dangerous but not great, his wrestling is below average, and his bjj (even tho it's there on paper) doesn't really help him in fights...his athletic ability isn't what it used to be and he seems incapable of implementing any kind of gameplan to avoid being taken down...I mean, if when a past his prime Chuck Liddell can take you down without any trouble, that's really not good when fighting a guy like Rampage.
Don't get me wrong, I love Wanderlei and if I wasn't betting against him I would be rooting for him in this fight, but his time has come.
Pat Barry -240
I was pretty surprised when I saw this betting line at how generous it was being towards Evenson...the guy is trash...complete trash and he's fighting a very good, very aggressive striker in Pat Barry...Evenson is a "Norwegian kickboxing champion" lol...sometimes i wonder if they just raffle those trophies off to people...Any fighter with a reasonable level of lateral movement will walk right past a guy Evenson's droggy strikes and punish him....and even tho Pat Barry is a lil undersized for the division, I don't see that being a problem in this fight with two HW strikers...one who is very good standing, the other is ...well pretty bad despite that being his only real weapons....the fact that Evenson is even in the UFC makes me wonder if they bring guys in just to make highlight reels out of...he's a pretty embarrassing professional athlete IMO
Pat Barry via whatever he wants standing
more analysis is coming