I'd say your best chance of an really profitable upset win is Belcher taking out Kang. At 3.20, Belcher is a steal, he's inconsistent and therefore is the underdog. But Kang has been inconsistent of late too, losing a bunch of his last few fights. Granted they were to good competition, but I think he's overrated being given such heavy odds. Just my opinion though, wouldn't bet the house on him, as on any underdog.
As far as the others go, Coleman is a tired old horse, and on top of that the US has far stricter roid testing than Japan. Without those, he's even more fcked. I think 3.85 is an understatement, I wouldn't bet on him if they give him 5, it's money down the drain. Machida won't lose to anyone in the LHW div, let alone Thiago. I suppose 3.4 is decent odds for a small bet, Thiago isn't a scrub. But I believe he's heavily overrated and it's still a longshot. All the others are spot on odds, and the favorites are very likely to win.
Don't know about Jon Jones though, his record looks impressive for a newcomer. He's finished 5 of his 7 fights in the 1st round and one in the 2nd. With the possible exception of Gusmao, they were all inexperienced guys though, so it's hard to tell one way or another. He looked good against Gusmao though, would be a very nice bet if they gave him better odds, but it's hard to tell right now.
Last edited by Liddellianenko; 01-06-2009 at 10:21 AM.