coleman on my bet site 3.85/1 odds to win, should i lay the hammer down? - MMA Forum - UFC Forums - UFC Results - MMA Videos
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Old 01-06-2009, 06:47 AM   #1 (permalink)
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coleman on my bet site 3.85/1 odds to win, should i lay the hammer down?

those not familiar with party bets the 3.85 means if you bet 100 bucks you win 385 bucks, 285 profit.

do you guys think this is a good bet? shogun didn't look great his last fight and he's coming off injury and hasn;t fought in 16 months. meanwhile isn't coleman coming off injury. those seem like pretty good odds i mean even if the fight is 66/33 that is still a profit.

also see anything else that catches ur eye?

Win
1.25 Rua M.S. v Coleman M. 3.85

Win
2.05 Franklin R. v Henderson D. 1.73

Win
3.20 Belcher A. v Kang D. 1.33

Win
1.77 Davis M. v Lytle C. 2.00


ufc 94
Win
1.30 Machida L. v Silva T. 3.40

Win
1.55 Pierre G. St. v Penn B. J. 2.40

Win
1.60 Bonnar S. v Jones J. 2.30

who's this jon jones guy, can bonnar get an easy win based on experience? i don't remeber his sole fight in the ufc.

thiago is getting a high payout right now, do you think it'll be closer than that?
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Old 01-06-2009, 07:08 AM   #2 (permalink)
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no cuz shogun will win
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Old 01-06-2009, 08:59 AM   #3 (permalink)
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I really think Franklin will win.
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Old 01-06-2009, 09:11 AM   #4 (permalink)
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I'd say your best chance of an really profitable upset win is Belcher taking out Kang. At 3.20, Belcher is a steal, he's inconsistent and therefore is the underdog. But Kang has been inconsistent of late too, losing a bunch of his last few fights. Granted they were to good competition, but I think he's overrated being given such heavy odds. Just my opinion though, wouldn't bet the house on him, as on any underdog.

As far as the others go, Coleman is a tired old horse, and on top of that the US has far stricter roid testing than Japan. Without those, he's even more fcked. I think 3.85 is an understatement, I wouldn't bet on him if they give him 5, it's money down the drain. Machida won't lose to anyone in the LHW div, let alone Thiago. I suppose 3.4 is decent odds for a small bet, Thiago isn't a scrub. But I believe he's heavily overrated and it's still a longshot. All the others are spot on odds, and the favorites are very likely to win.

Don't know about Jon Jones though, his record looks impressive for a newcomer. He's finished 5 of his 7 fights in the 1st round and one in the 2nd. With the possible exception of Gusmao, they were all inexperienced guys though, so it's hard to tell one way or another. He looked good against Gusmao though, would be a very nice bet if they gave him better odds, but it's hard to tell right now.

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Old 01-06-2009, 09:17 AM   #5 (permalink)
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Taking Coleman for 3.85 and Silva for 3.40 might not be a bad idea.

If you drop $100.00 on each fight you could win $525.00

That sounds like a plan to me. BTW what site is this? I might have to get in on this action.
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Old 01-06-2009, 10:12 AM   #6 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JayDubs911 View Post
those not familiar with party bets the 3.85 means if you bet 100 bucks you win 385 bucks, 285 profit.

do you guys think this is a good bet? shogun didn't look great his last fight and he's coming off injury and hasn;t fought in 16 months. meanwhile isn't coleman coming off injury. those seem like pretty good odds i mean even if the fight is 66/33 that is still a profit.

also see anything else that catches ur eye?

Win
1.25 Rua M.S. v Coleman M. 3.85

Win
2.05 Franklin R. v Henderson D. 1.73

Win
3.20 Belcher A. v Kang D. 1.33

Win
1.77 Davis M. v Lytle C. 2.00


ufc 94
Win
1.30 Machida L. v Silva T. 3.40

Win
1.55 Pierre G. St. v Penn B. J. 2.40

Win
1.60 Bonnar S. v Jones J. 2.30

who's this jon jones guy, can bonnar get an easy win based on experience? i don't remeber his sole fight in the ufc.

thiago is getting a high payout right now, do you think it'll be closer than that?
Why are there no negative numbers?
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Old 01-06-2009, 11:15 AM   #7 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Hett View Post
Why are there no negative numbers?
This is decimal odds, not American odds which is probably what you are used to seeing, e.g -200 +200.

A negative decimal here wouldn't work.. Nor does it make sense.
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Old 01-06-2009, 11:41 AM   #8 (permalink)
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Quote:
Decimal odds
Favoured in continental Europe, Australia and Canada, decimal odds differ from fractional odds in that the bettor must first part with their stake in order to make a bet, the figure quoted is the winning amount that would be paid out to the bettor. Therefore, the decimal odds of an outcome are equivalent to the decimal value of the fractional odds plus one. Thus even odds 1/1 are quoted in decimal odds as 2. The 4/1 fractional odds discussed above are quoted as 5, while the 1/4 odds are quoted as 1.25. This is considered to be ideal for parlay betting, because the odds to be paid out are simply the product of the odds for each outcome wagered on. Decimal odds are also favoured by betting exchanges because they are the easiest to work with for trading.

Decimal odds are also known as European odds, or continental odds in the UK.
From wiki, I never bet so I thought it would be nice to know what the hell it was

edit :
Jon Jones @ 2.3 seems good to me
Franklin @ 2.05 too

Last edited by r00kie : 01-06-2009 at 11:44 AM.
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Old 01-06-2009, 11:45 AM   #9 (permalink)
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Personally, I wouldn't put any money on coleman no matter what the odds. The odds on thiago are pretty good though, he's a tough dude that throws some serious leather, so I give him at least a punchers chance to win.

Also Franklin looks like a good bet.
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Old 01-06-2009, 11:52 AM   #10 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JayDubs911 View Post
those not familiar with party bets the 3.85 means if you bet 100 bucks you win 385 bucks, 285 profit.

do you guys think this is a good bet? shogun didn't look great his last fight and he's coming off injury and hasn;t fought in 16 months. meanwhile isn't coleman coming off injury. those seem like pretty good odds i mean even if the fight is 66/33 that is still a profit.

also see anything else that catches ur eye?

Win
1.25 Rua M.S. v Coleman M. 3.85

Win
2.05 Franklin R. v Henderson D. 1.73

Win
3.20 Belcher A. v Kang D. 1.33

Win
1.77 Davis M. v Lytle C. 2.00


ufc 94
Win
1.30 Machida L. v Silva T. 3.40

Win
1.55 Pierre G. St. v Penn B. J. 2.40

Win
1.60 Bonnar S. v Jones J. 2.30

who's this jon jones guy, can bonnar get an easy win based on experience? i don't remeber his sole fight in the ufc.

thiago is getting a high payout right now, do you think it'll be closer than that?
wich site is this by the way ?
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