I think Shogun would beat him in the rematch, and the biggest reason I come back to is, Lyoto Machida cannot hurt Shogun at all. I also think alot of people underestimated Shogun's speed coming into the 1st fight. Will Lyoto make adjustments for Shogun's kicks? He probably will but the problem is can he do that without compromising his fighting style. I also wouldn't advise Machida to get too aggressive, firstly that's not his game, and secondly when Machida starts opening up he does tend to get a little sloppy with his hands and you do not want to brawl with any former Chute Boxe fighter let alone Shogun, especially Machida that's not his game at all. It's a really good matchup as last night proved, I've seen the Machida/Shogun fight a few times, and after rewatching the Shogun/Liddell fight, Shogun has really exercised alot of patience (which is why alot of people were picking Lyoto they thought Shogun would bum rush him and get picked apart, not the case) and more precision than he has previously, A healthy Shogun with patience and a gameplan is a very scary fighter.