Maybe this isn't as complicated. Bader, in all honesty, doesn't look that good. I'm sure Dana expected him to evolve a little more. I certainly did. He still gasses after round one. Hes shown no real evidence of decent ground and pound. His striking as improved... but not by much at all.
I speculate that Dana expects Bones to win this fight 100%. This will elevate Bones easily into a big fight, due to Baders unbeaten record. And Bader will drop down to gatekeeper status where he belongs. Bader will never hold the belt. Bones certainly can. And also, it stops the big earners: Franklin or Griffen, getting humiliated and losing stock. Thats what I think is going through Danas mind.
What's going through *my* mind is that I don't like Bones and so would like to see him twitching on the canvas.