Bader all the way. The Bones wagon is hitting a bump in the road come Feb 5th.
I have not been impressed with Jones lately, he has let his hype go to his head. His best win is Matyushenko(arguably his destruction of Hamill although he lost that fight). He hasn't fought a good striker and his jerky standup spinning back elbow is getting very predictable and has holes in it. Bader is going to avoid being taken down and punish Jones on the feet with superior technique.
Both guys can win this fight, I just think Bader wins it more often then Jones does. Jones has higher potential but I haven't really been that impressed with him lately.