I got Kampmann in this one, Diego just hasnt been himself lately and is at a dead end in his career.
Nah, Diego seems revitalized. I think you're still going on his Hathaway fight - he was coming off a weight gain (LW to WW which is the biggest % gain of any two divisions) and coming off of one of the most brutal beat downs in UFC history.
Diego said a few weeks ago said he's stronger than he's ever been and a better wrestler than he's ever been at 195 lbs.
Kampmann's best shot is aggressive offensive grappling and setting up and getting the sub or winning a round methodically by jabs (which might be tough because Sanchez might want to brawl).
Kampmann's (overrated) stand-up is about the same level as Sanchez's IMO. As a kickboxer base - Kampmann doesn't kick. He has a nice jab, but no real punches in bunches. If Diego goes brawling which he's pretty good at, it's an even match up stand-up (IMO).
His biggest shot over Diego is aggressive offensive grappling.
If the Shields fight was any indication where Kampmann's cardio is, Diego will TKO him on the ground or (most likely) win a decision because of takedowns.
If it's even game after the first 2 rounds at Diego's pace, Diego's cardio dictates via stand-up or takedowns in the 3rd IMO.
Momentum is in Diego's favor as well.